NFL 2024 Season - Week 16
Picksfootball
 

Headline Play

Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
SEASON:

Article Archive

Week 16
Vintage 2018
Penix Debut
Dog Day
Playoff Position
Rest of the Story
Different Sundays
Run Some Tests
Without and With
Week 15
Two Tonight
Playoff Chances
Wild Card Challenge
Best of the Best
Next
Dire Straits
And It's Good
Bloated Lines
Week 14
Running up the Score
Challenge Me
Finding Reasons to Win
Crab Feed
Week Off
Good Enough
Buyers Regret
Pulled the Rug
Week 13
Mile High Hopes
Top and Bottom
Fourth Time the Charm
Bounce Back
Engage Spark
Line Up
Out in the Cold
Thanksgiving Visitors
Good Enough
Motivation on Steroids
Week 12
Second Best
Heavyweight Bout
QB's Ins and Outs
Everybody In
Too Easy
Walk the Plank
Hot to Trot
Try, Try, Try, Try, Try Again
Week 11
Mouse Trap
Must Game
Malfunction
Easy Does It
Old Foes
Falcons Fly into Mile High
Matter of Time
Improv
To the Brink
Week 10
Odd Man Out
Lions come Calling
Rookie versus Veteran
Call to Action
Full Reverse
When 8-0 is 4-4
Game of Contradictions
NFC West Bunch
Early Boarding
Week 9
Not Enough, Too Much
Real or Imposters
Groin Shot
Best Show
Saddle Up
Dull Edges
Telling Actions
Annihilation Formula
Week 8
No and No
Old Glory
Rookie Face Off
Adding it Up
Holding On
Jets Down
Unload and Reload
No Surprise
Career Paths
It Hurts
Week 7
Harbaugh Monday
Kids Camp
Barkley Back
Bird Battle
Mouse Time
Too Many?
Gone Shopping
Not Bad
40 for 3
Week 6
Try New
Night Vision
Trap Door
Looking Up
Wake Up Call
All Good Things
Bad Idea
Unexpected
Fire One
Week 5
Yes & Yes
Old Rivals
Rookie Sensation
So Close
Lunch in Seattle
Wake the Roosters
No Respect
Too Sweet
Turtle Flip
Week 4
Landmine
Bottoms Up
Winners and Losers
Call Me
Short Line
Reality Bites
Like Tonight
Uptick
Challenge Generates Performance
Week 3
Two Times
Reduced Value
Stars Down
The Other 21
Opportunity Knocks
Lots of Questions
Move Along People
Times Up
Week 2
Confidence Game
First and Second Picked QB's
Avoiding the Donut
Do or Die
One for the Road
Likewise
Adjustment Bureau
Down ... Not Out
Week 1
Time Marches On
Cashing the Trade
Start Here
Say What
Quick Up, Quick Down
Brazil Play Date
Top Two Open
Super Bowl Pick
Season Win Totals
Moving on Up
Breakout to Breakdown
Preseason 4
Preseason Wrap
Rookie Playoff Run
Preseason 3
Short Memory
Two In, One Up
Eagles Hunt
Winning Formula
Preseason 2
Quarterback Shuffle
One Two, or Two One
Starters Sit
Remote Control
Money be Damned
Preseason 1
One Season to the Next
Public Shift
Comets in the Night
Offseason
Mahomes Chasing History
All's Well that Ends Well
Ups and Downs
     
 
Quarterback Shuffle
by Dennis Ranahan

The National Football League closes out their first full week of preseason action today with a pair of contests. The first, with a 10:00 a.m. Pacific Time start, finds the Indianapolis Colts hosting the Denver Broncos. Three hours later, the Los Angeles Rams host the Dallas Cowboys.

The Broncos were installed as a favorite in today’s game when the line was first posted, but later in the week the Colts shifted to the favorite roll with the announcement that Anthony Richardson would see some playing time for the home team.

Richardson was off to a solid rookie season last year before his campaign was sidelined by injuries. The quarterback’s season was first interrupted by a concussion that had him miss the Colts Week Three contest and then his first pro season ended abruptly with a grade three AC Joint sprain suffered against the Tennessee Titans in fifth week action.

Still, his brief play in his first year, after being the fourth overall selection in the 2023 draft, gave the Colts high hopes that their next franchise quarterback had arrived. His probable starting role in Sunday’s preseason opener had the betting public turn tail from the favored Broncos and back the homestanding Colts.

While Richardson is scheduled to start this game for head coach Shane Steichen, he is likely to play no more than one or two series of downs. That amount of play does not warrant a four-point shift in the point spread, making a wager on Indianapolis a high-risk proposition.

The Broncos are starting their second season under head coach Sean Payton, who had won a Super Bowl in his previous tenure with the New Orleans Saints. Two years ago, the Broncos had brought in one-time Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl winning quarterback Russell Wilson, he was thought to be the answer in the Mile High City to vault the Broncos back to the playoffs who welcomed him with an already highly regarded defense.

Ever see the wheels come off a truck on the road?

That is exactly what happened to Denver in Wilson’s first season with the Broncos. He was downright horrible, the defense underperformed, and first-year head coach Nathanial Hackett was saddled with most of the blame for the Broncos fall and was fired before the end of his initial season.

The addition of Payton last year had the promise of revitalizing Wilson’s career and move the Broncos up in the standings.

Didn’t happen, and this time the Broncos identified Wilson as the reason for failure and shipped the veteran to Pittsburgh this off-season while acquiring what they hope will be their quarterback of the future, Bo Nix. The Broncos spent their first pick, the 12th overall selection, to grab Nix in this year’s draft.

While Wilson had a couple horrible seasons in Denver that seemed to erase his past success in the league, one should not forget his brilliant early career beginning in 2012 which included a Super Bowl win in 2013, and a second Super Bowl appearance in 2014. That success, achieved in Seattle with the Seahawks, was under head coach Pete Carroll. In a surprise move, the Seahawks ended their 14 years with Carroll as their head coach earlier this year. Wilson has moved onto the Pittsburgh Steelers and will battle Chicago Bears castoff Justin Fields for the starting spot on Mike Tomlin’s squad.

A lot to sort out for a number of teams with just three preseason scrimmages on the schedule to determine which players stay, which ones go, and who starts the season behind center and the other positions of the field.